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Topic: Match thread ~ DAFC 0-0 Queens Park FT
121. Author:  Football_Par        
Date: Sun 5th Oct 2025. 09:51

for the money we have spent we should be doing much better



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122. Author:  DunfyDave        
Date: Sun 5th Oct 2025. 09:56

Well said Rhino.
Can`t dispute a single word you said.

DunfyDave

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123. Author:  Berkey        
Date: Sun 5th Oct 2025. 11:29

Absolutely agree on the lack of strikers anticipation, that’s what a fit Chris kane gives you, he’s always on his toes and closes players down and gambles. We can’t get into players faces with a pressing game either as we have too many who don’t press so it’s easier for teams to get out. There’s just not enough movement in the team in the forward areas to stretch teams and there’s a lack of pace in the team again to beat a man or get in behind again. Yesterday was a masterclass in poor delivery into the box as well but until Barney came on you didn’t feel like we had the height score from a header in open play anyway.

My worry is that queens were very poor yesterday including particularly poor centre backs but we couldn`t take advantage of it. For sure they will be battling it out down the bottom come the end of the season so that was the gam you needed to win to put daylight between us and what I see as the bottom 2 teams alongside airdrie.

Rudden will make a difference but we’re very much a different team without Jeffy. Without Jeffy we’re a team who will struggle at this level to score goals and win games and with him we’re a match for anyone. He’s become massive for us.

The post below replying to me is by one of .nets finest champions of mediocrity!

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124. Author:  RhinoPars        
Date: Sun 5th Oct 2025. 11:54

I should have mentioned losing Rudden has been a blow.

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125. Author:  onandupthepars        
Date: Sun 5th Oct 2025. 13:02

Very good posts RhinoPars.

Something that keeps getting slung at management is the idea that we`ve spent a lot of dough. Have we really? Folk were saying we offered 150K or so for Easton. And that`s about the biggest number I`ve seen. What have we actually spent on any of our players? It`s not as if anyone has cost us big bucks. Seems to me we`ve spent wisely, and not all that much.



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126. Author:  wetherby        
Date: Sun 5th Oct 2025. 13:07

I your selection for MoM against QP at home is our keeper then that says everything about our performance and the position we are in . Cause for concern.



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127. Author:  kelty_par        
Date: Sun 5th Oct 2025. 13:45

We spent decent money on Fraser and Kearney, but the rest of the guys who played yesterday were either frees, from our youth system or small nominal fees. Cáceres is probably the one we`ve spent any serious money on but he wasn`t available. Seems some folk have already decided we`re spending daft money.



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128. Author:  wee eck        
Date: Sun 5th Oct 2025. 13:54

Sheffield United were keen to offload Caceres to free up his `slot` for another foreigner so they probably didn`t demand a big fee. His wages would be another matter though. How do you persuade someone who has just been relegated from the English Premiership to switch to the Scottish Championship?

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129. Author:  bigdonnie        
Date: Sun 5th Oct 2025. 13:55

if we just had a good finisher we would be at least 4th in league need calculator to count chances missed

donald mcneil

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130. Author:  AdamAntsParsStripe        
Date: Sun 5th Oct 2025. 14:06

Because I’ve no high expectations this season I’m not overly concerned about anything.
The team still look up for a fight every week and circumstances prevail as NL touched upon such as hitting the woodwork nearly every week, the red cards in successive weeks and the injury to Rudden.
Yes the final third was not creative enough yesterday but the wind has to come into consideration.
I heard multiple football reports on Sportsound and it was much the same everywhere really.
On another day we would have comfortably won that match yesterday.
We controlled it near enough throughout but we ran out of ideas especially in the second half.
Queens Park deserve some credit for defending soundly as well.

Zwei Pints Bier und ein Päckchen Chips bitte


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131. Author:  Berkey        
Date: Sun 5th Oct 2025. 14:46

We’ll have spent decent money on rudden, including presumably matching his premier league wage from livi.

Jerry wont have been cheap and will be on really good money for this level and also we paid put for young.

We also paid a fee for mcleod, not sure how much but it will have either been a bigger fee or a bigger sell on percentage I guess.

We’ll have spent a fair amount on both fees and wages since january. Jeffy was signed for sheff united for over a million at the start of the year so we’ll have paid a chunk there for sure.

Adam you think if we played Queen again tomorrow with the same team we would comfortably beat them? Not so sure and we absolutely can’t blame the wind for players choosing the wrong or safe option and not making the runs into space.



Post Edited (Sun 05 Oct 14:53)

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132. Author:  neils        
Date: Sun 5th Oct 2025. 14:47

I don`t think we`ve spent excessively at all, I think Cook confirmed this in at the fans forum.

Amade we got from the owners sister Bulgarian club, for him, this is a big move to get exposure in Scotland, he can excel here or get easier access to English football (even at a lower level they can pay big bucks) I can`t imagine we are paying a fortune, same for the others, they were not playing much before, so won`t be on a lot.

The only doubt is Cacares, but he was in no man`s land at Sheffield United, so I`ve no idea how that worked, I`m assuming they paid him in full to leave, I neither know nor care, none of us know and never will.

As for Easton? Can`t believe these figures, I think there was just some effort to attract him, then it grew legs, he also used it to get a ridiculous contract at the wee team-well done him and his agent.



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133. Author:  Ahoy!Ahoy!        
Date: Sun 5th Oct 2025. 14:47

We couldn’t break down a very poor Queens Park team and that’s the bottom line.

Created zero golden opportunities and looked lost in the final 3rd.

We’re in for another long season.



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134. Author:  Malcolm Canmore        
Date: Sun 5th Oct 2025. 15:53

Great post, Rhinopar. I wholeheartedly agree with everything you say about the squad and performances.

“Some on here don’t seem to understand that goals………follow a Poisson distribution.” Surely the intellectual powerhouse that is DAFC.net can’t be failing to grasp that.

My dog eats meat

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135. Author:  shellypar        
Date: Sun 5th Oct 2025. 16:54

I can confirm to yous that we do have a wage structure in place, for example we had thomas across training but we were not willing to go over ayrs wage offer as it did not fit within our wage structure

I think we have spent a reasonable of money on what we believe in

I think some are slightly overreacting, however in cases as warranted as we all want to succeed, so this may require a bit of patience, and im more than willing to be patient

I know it looks as if though we splashed the cash but i dont think its the case

And i know we have had a few bad results recently, but i believe there is good fortune to come

At the end of the day if u go to the football, and get entirely raging, i dont think its for you, at the end of the day nothing changes, we can support the best we can however its not the be all and end all

Hope everyone has a good weekend :)

COYP

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136. Author:  thebear        
Date: Sun 5th Oct 2025. 17:14

We need to rename the team "joiners" as we keep hitting the woodwork

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137. Author:  NMCmassive        
Date: Sun 5th Oct 2025. 17:34

thebear, Sun 5 Oct 17:14

We need to rename the team "joiners" as we keep hitting the woodwork


Oaft 🤦🏻‍♂️

COYP

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138. Author:  McCaig`s Tower        
Date: Sun 5th Oct 2025. 21:54

An interesting team selection in a number of ways:

Sticking with 4 at the back – I had anticipated Hamilton coming in in a sweeper-type role.

Giving Abdulai his debut (I thought he was good).

Bray, after being unable to get in the squad recently, suddenly starts, although on the left. Meanwhile MacLeod was on the right – so I think both wide midfielders were playing on the “wrong” wing.

And Amade as captain – although alternatives were limited – Gilmour or Kane possibly (another reason why I expected Hammy to play).

Ultimately It didn’t really work, although maybe we were the width of a crossbar from it doing so.

Defensively we were fairly sound but we didn’t create enough. Passing was poor – perhaps conditions were trickier at pitch level than they appeared in the stand. For me, it seemed too many player were trying too many tricks and flicks, which might work at youth or lower levels, but not so much here. Youthful impetuosity perhaps. And JCM goes down too easily in the box - he got away with one in the first half, not in the second. Just stay on your feet and try to stick the ball in the net.

Terrell was much better, and probably saved us a point, as was Stewart, who looked more like a player. Kane looked a bit off – perhaps a consequence of not being 100% fit.

So that’s the end of the first quarter – overall it’s been disappointing. Arbroath (whom we cuffed) have started better than I thought, and Ross County much worse. I still expect both teams to revert to the mean. St Johnstone have looked very good – change of manager or change of attitude? Partick are handy. Airdrie and Queen’s Park look the poorest.

We’ve a wee break until the next one – time to brush up on Chi Squared Tests perhaps?



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139. Author:  Indiapar1        
Date: Sun 5th Oct 2025. 22:23

I think it will all come good. The results will come. Hopefully this first part of our season is the worst and we improve going forward as the players get more games under their belt

G Wardrope

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140. Author:  RhinoPars        
Date: Mon 6th Oct 2025. 01:19

Malcom Canmore - As for the Poisson distribution - it`s not about fish !

It is sometimes called the distribution of rare events, and goals in football are rare events. If you know the average number of goals scored per game you can calculate the chances of not scoring, scoring once, twice etc.. Even if we on average were to score two goals a game (what St Johnstone are doing) the chance of not scoring in a game is 13.5%. A drop of half a goal to an average of 1.5 goals /game has the chance of not scoring approaching 1 in 4 games (22.3%). Our current league average goals per game is 1.11 increasing our chance of not scoring any goals in a game to a third of the games (33.0%). My point was that even if one is playing well and scoring goals like St Johnstone there is still a reasonable chance of not scoring in a game.

Many years ago I used the Poisson distribution as part of the calculations in some Bayesian Mark-Recapture Population estimation software I developed to analyse individual black rhino sighting/re-sighting data that field rangers and monitors had collected in the bush. Using these sighting data one could estimate the number of black rhinos in a reserve (with confidence levels).



Post Edited (Mon 06 Oct 08:30)

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