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Topic: Election Results
21. Author:  The One Who Knocks        
Date: Fri 5th Jul 2024. 10:59

Always been that sort of thing with fptp voting though Wee Eck. Mind in 2015 when the SNP actually did really well to get 50% of the vote from a turnout of 71% yet were still rewarded with a disproportionate number of seats. 56 out of 59.

And although my eyes were open
They just might as well be closed


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22. Author:  jake89        
Date: Fri 5th Jul 2024. 11:11

The One Who Knocks, Fri 5 Jul 09:55

Jake that would be a very dangerous strategy for the SNP to deploy at the Holyrood elections. By then they`ll have been in power for nineteen years and if they try to blame the Westminster Labour government for the state of the devolved public services then I think that will actually anger the the electorate.


Don`t worry, I`m not the SNP campaign manager.

I`d expect Labour to throw money at Scotland to win favour at the Scottish election in 2026. The difficult part will be that Scottish Labour and UK Labour don`t always sing from the same hymn sheet and Scottish Labour can`t point the finger at Westminster decisions whilst the SNP can. However, there are so many variables at play. Being brutally honest, I think most of the public don`t know the difference between the Scottish Parliament and UK in terms of which matters sit where.

To give an example, UK Labour and Welsh Labour support the development of a National Care Service in England and Wales. The Scottish government have been working on this for 2-3 years now but Scottish Labour attempted to vote the bill down. Does their stance change, or do they stick to their guns and ultimately tell the people of Scotland it's a good idea elsewhere but not in Scotland?

Post Edited (Fri 05 Jul 11:19)

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23. Author:  wee eck        
Date: Fri 5th Jul 2024. 11:30

You`re right about voters` confusion. jake. There was a guy on the radio this morning (from Dunfermline!) saying the SG should concentrate on matters which would improve people`s lives in Scotland like building more wind farms or controlling the price of utilities for consumers. Someone phoned in later to point out that both of these were reserved matters outside the control of the SG.

TOWK, I`m quite aware that the vagaries of the FPTP voting system can benefit or hinder all parties. I was just pointing out that the results it produces aren`t necessarily indicative of the supreme endorsement the media like to portray.



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24. Author:  jake89        
Date: Fri 5th Jul 2024. 11:41

wee eck, Fri 5 Jul 11:30

You`re right about voters` confusion. jake. There was a guy on the radio this morning (from Dunfermline!) saying the SG should concentrate on matters which would improve people`s lives in Scotland like building more wind farms or controlling the price of utilities for consumers. Someone phoned in later to point out that both of these were reserved matters outside the control of the SG.

TOWK, I`m quite aware that the vagaries of the FPTP voting system can benefit or hinder all parties. I was just pointing out that the results it produces aren`t necessarily indicative of the supreme endorsement the media like to portray.


There`s a definite failure to understand that UK seats make little difference for Scotland in reality. Never enough to be legitimate opposition and most things that matter most to people are devolved. Of course, it works both ways. As far as many of the public are concerned, Scotland is now run by Labour so all the successes/failures are down to them.

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25. Author:  wee eck        
Date: Fri 5th Jul 2024. 12:38

I`m not sure about your last sentence, jake. Yesterday the SNP was punished in a UK election because most voters see Scotland as being run by them, not the Tories, although Scots had the opportunity to give both governments a kicking.



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26. Author:  jake89        
Date: Fri 5th Jul 2024. 12:55

What I mean is that the people who think Labour now run Scotland will presumably blame them for a lack of change in Scotland rather than the SNP, despite the main matters being controlled by an SNP led administration in Holyrood. That`s obviously problematic for the SNP if they do an amazing job and get no credit!

Labours vote shares hasn`t increased significantly despite the massive gain in seats. They`re going to have to start evidencing "change" quickly or I can see Reform becoming a much bigger force, particularly in England. 4m votes for Reform isn`t insignificant and the concern will be Labour begin adopting some Reform policies (not that Reform really have any).

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27. Author:  LochgellyAlbert        
Date: Fri 5th Jul 2024. 13:29

Noticeable that Starmer lost 10K in votes in his constituency.

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28. Author:  Bletchley_Par        
Date: Fri 5th Jul 2024. 13:55

Labour won by default.

Keir Starmer`s Labour got 9,686,329 votes less than the 10,269,051 Jeremy Corbyn`s Labour got last time round.

Woeful Tories an insurgent Reform and low turnout have seen Labour sweep to victory with a landslide.

Rough numbers under a PR system would look like the following.

Labour = 241

Conservative = 163

Reform = 94

Lib Dem = 83

Green = 44

SNP = 18




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29. Author:  Andrew283        
Date: Fri 5th Jul 2024. 14:09

Bletchley_Par, Fri 5 Jul 13:55

Labour won by default.

Keir Starmer`s Labour got 9,686,329 votes less than the 10,269,051 Jeremy Corbyn`s Labour got last time round.

Woeful Tories an insurgent Reform and low turnout have seen Labour sweep to victory with a landslide.

Rough numbers under a PR system would look like the following.

Labour = 241

Conservative = 163

Reform = 94

Lib Dem = 83

Green = 44

SNP = 18


Right wing tears are the most delicious

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30. Author:  Mr Mac        
Date: Fri 5th Jul 2024. 14:14

Raymie the Legend, Fri 5 Jul 08:02

And the icing on the cake is Liz Truss losing her seat
What an arrogant, useless and dangerous woman

She showed no class at all, having to be encouraged into the stage to hear the result

Good riddance to bad rubbish. I’m delighted she has gone


Almost as bad is Nadine Dorries, C4 had her on as part of their coverage and she spent most of what I saw saying the Tories lost because they got rid of Boris Johnson, how awful the rest of the Tory party. And trying to play down the massive swing to Labour.



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31. Author:  Luxembourg Par        
Date: Fri 5th Jul 2024. 14:54

wee eck, Fri 5 Jul 10:49

Turnout over the UK was down from 67.6% to 60%. Labour got 33.7% of the vote so that`s 20.2% of the electorate. That was enough for them to win 63.5% of the seats. It`s hard to make sense of that.


It’s about time voting was made mandatory, like it is in many countries.
Also, this FPTP needs to go in the bin.
Sure, it creates majority governments, but it’s nowhere near being representative of the country.



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32. Author:  wee eck        
Date: Fri 5th Jul 2024. 15:10

Unfortunately turkeys won`t vote for Christmas. Turnout has gradually eroded over the years. It used to be normal to get 70%+.



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33. Author:  Bletchley_Par        
Date: Fri 5th Jul 2024. 15:19

Topic Originator: Mr Mac
Date: Fri 5 Jul 14:14

Almost as bad is Nadine Dorries, C4 had her on as part of their coverage and she spent most of what I saw saying the Tories lost because they got rid of Boris Johnson, how awful the rest of the Tory party. And trying to play down the massive swing to Labour.



But that`s just it, there was not a massive swing to Labour. Sure the TV companies have their swingometers showing "Swings to labour", but it is not people moving from the Tories to Labour, it is people moving from the Tories to Reform, aided by tactical voting with the Labour vote being held up by people moving from the Lib Dems.

Look at the Labour totals in individual constituencies, even accounting for the lower turnout they have not went up massively.

Starmer got almost 600,000 less than Corbyn did in 2019 and 3.1 Million less than Corbyn did in 2017.



Post Edited (Fri 05 Jul 15:20)

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34. Author:  Parboiled        
Date: Fri 5th Jul 2024. 15:34

Ministerial posts .being handed out now

I suppose Larry the cat will retain the Chief Mouser role. Is this the 5th or 6th PM he has served?

Not bad seeing he only got the job by a whiska…



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35. Author:  Mr Mac        
Date: Fri 5th Jul 2024. 15:50

Bletchley_Par, Fri 5 Jul 15:19

Topic Originator: Mr Mac
Date: Fri 5 Jul 14:14

Almost as bad is Nadine Dorries, C4 had her on as part of their coverage and she spent most of what I saw saying the Tories lost because they got rid of Boris Johnson, how awful the rest of the Tory party. And trying to play down the massive swing to Labour.



But that`s just it, there was not a massive swing to Labour. Sure the TV companies have their swingometers showing "Swings to labour", but it is not people moving from the Tories to Labour, it is people moving from the Tories to Reform, aided by tactical voting with the Labour vote being held up by people moving from the Lib Dems.

Look at the Labour totals in individual constituencies, even accounting for the lower turnout they have not went up massively.

Starmer got almost 600,000 less than Corbyn did in 2019 and 3.1 Million less than Corbyn did in 2017.



In number of seats it`s a huge "swing", was also mentioned that Reform effectively got 1 million votes per seat which highlights how many Tory votes have gone that way



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36. Author:  Parboiled        
Date: Fri 5th Jul 2024. 16:10

David Lammy Foreign Sec..OMG dinnae let him loose abroad, he thinks Marie Antoinette won the 1903 Nobel prize for Physics



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37. Author:  Bletchley_Par        
Date: Fri 5th Jul 2024. 17:40

Topic Originator: Mr Mac
Date: Fri 5 Jul 15:50


In number of seats it`s a huge "swing"



Yes but you were criticising Nadine Dorries talking about the swing and in psephology swing does not mean the number of seats.

was also mentioned that Reform effectively got 1 million votes per seat which highlights how many Tory votes have gone that way.


Yes, I said that in my post, which further highlights how this was not a massive swing to Labour from the Tories.

It was a large swing to Labour from the SNP however.




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38. Author:  Andrew283        
Date: Fri 5th Jul 2024. 17:52

An interesting point. Traditionally the left leaning vote was split amongst several parties. Now Reform are causing a split in the right wing vote. Could be interesting days to come

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39. Author:  jake89        
Date: Fri 5th Jul 2024. 17:54

Labour aren`t exactly left anymore though.

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40. Author:  Dave_1885        
Date: Fri 5th Jul 2024. 17:55

Glad that we do use FPTP to be honest, it means that each constituency is controlled by the party they actually voted for.

Imagine if Fife had voted in the majority for Labour/Lib Dem but had been given 2x Reform candidates because they got 93 seats in the UK…….no thanks

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